In fact, there are many questions about the future of international relations after Biden's victory in the US election. Perhaps the most prominent question is about US-Russian relations, And American- European relations. And as we know, Biden is known to be closer to the deep state policy in the United States. Consequently, this will lead to the return of America's traditional hostility against Russia. From this point of view we are looking to ask:

1/ Is it likely that the tension between America and Russia will rise? What are the reflections on Europe in this case?

Some people were dreaming about Joe Biden being elected and entering the White House, thinking that he would bring some kind of civilized behaviors after the stormy Donald Trump’s mandate. But this was a fake and unrealistic forecast.

In fact, Biden as well as Trump are before anything else US Presidents, relying on the same ideological stuff that lies behind and inspires the so-called “Deep State”. Both of them deeply despise the mere notion of “International Law”, or UN Charter or basic diplomatic rules, practices and wording. They share more or less the same slogan:”Make America Great again” for Donald and “America must lead the World again” as regards Joe. But referring to what the community of nations has experienced for the last three decades, no bright future is in view: the US leaders, whatsoever they come from - the Democratic Party or the Grand Old Republican Party – don’t feel interested in abiding by any Law but the American Constitution, and still it’s not sure.

About your first question, let’s recall that Donald Trump pinpointed two main international challenges, China and Russia, in this order. China being the “public enemy number one” and the main danger in the short, middle and long run for the US leadership, economically, financially, militarily and politically altogether. On the other side, Russia seemed to be considered as a rival, but not a real challenger, a country which common understandings could be reached with. Let’s recall that all along his mandate Trump never succeeded to get rid from being suspected about his relationship to Moscow and President Poutine. To sum up the question, Trump was inclined to favor a “pivoting to Asia” (but not disengaging from the Middle East, unlike many experts used to assert.).

Biden did clearly announce that his main priority would be to contain a so-called “aggressive Russia” everywhere, thus coming back to the old basics of the Cold War (against Soviet Union). And we cannot help noting that his first steps in what regards Foreign Policy were about containing and threatening Russia everywhere. Of course China was not forgotten, with a special concern about China Southern Sea….But Russia comes first in terms of confrontation and enmity.

In those conditions, it is clear that Europe and the NATO allied countries will stand in the forefront of the forthcoming tensions. Biden is a very dangerous old warmonger, likely to give rise to manipulations…by the “Deep State”..

2/ Could the color revolutions be one of the American international diplomacy files? Where will this policy be quickly reversed?

The color revolutions never stopped being one of the US “privileged” diplomatic files, if we may say so. As far as attempts are concerned, during the last period at least, it was the case in Latin America where several States (Venezuela, Bolivia, Brasil, etc…) were targeted, as well as in Eastern Europe (Ukrania and Belarus). More broadly speaking, we can say that all the so-called “revolutions of the Arab Spring” were nothing but “color Revolutions”. As to decide whether those fake “revolutions” must be considered as a kind of “diplomatic files”, it’s of course disputable. But as far as “invisible, silent and endless wars” are at stake as an extra-time to Arab springs, according to Robert Malley (Obama’s advisor, and Biden’s advisor right now) this US policy is quite unlikely to be reversed, on the contrary.

We can be sure that the ongoing contesting movements in Russia (about Navalny’s trial and adventures) do look like and are in fact an attempt to start a “color revolution”. But I wouldn’t bet one dollar on the success of this “conspiracy”.

3/ Will America expand the deployment of the American missile shield in Eastern Europe again?

I suppose that all the military deployments that are liable to increase the tensions in Eastern Europe or elsewhere, will be expanded. Biden made no secret he was set upon taking every measure to defy Russia “aggressive attitude”. By the way, it will be an occasion to put to the test the European reactions in this field. Will they be receptive to US intentions and steps. I guess that the test will concern Germany and France at first. It’s a matter of remaking the traditional alliances of America with Old Europe, ill-treated by President Trump.

4/ Can America confront Russia in Asia (by reviving the conflicts in Central Asia and the Caucasus?)

Yes of course. Let’s recall that the Turkish-speaking Muslim States in Central Asia and the Caucasus, that were integrated to the Russian Empire then to the Soviet Union, geopolitically belong to the “Muslim Great Belt”, extending from the Atlantic Ocean and the African Shores to the Pacific Ocean and Asian shores and/or Islands. At the Fall of the Soviet Union, they came back to their cultural, religious and historical environment. This Muslim Green Belt does coincide more or less approximately with the “Great Middle East Project” conceptualized by George W. Bush and was the privileged theater for the confrontation between America and Russia after the Cod War until now.

For the United States, it is the privileged place for their traditional interventions, making a link between containment and destabilization of Russia on the one hand, And Muslim countries on the other hand. And it is a golden opportunity to keep Turkey involved in those conflicts, thus generating opposition and rivalry between Ankara and Moscow, in order to prevent their rapprochement.

5/ Can Syria be the subject of a Russian-American dispute? What are the limits of this disagreement?

Yes, unfortunately. Basically there is no complicity between America and Russia, whatever the different views that have been expressed on the subject. For both of them, I think that Syria is a very important and central stake. Russian has gained a strong position in Syria during the last ten years, supporting the legal State diplomatically and then militarily. Of course, Syria owes a lot to Russia, but Russia has a great debt to Syria, as long as the Syrian case was the file on which Moscow regained its international statute as a superpower.

This reality is surely well known in the States, and no US government would have any interest in finding an agreement with Russia about a final settlement of the Syrian crisis.

The agreement will last. As for the limits, it depends on the red lines that have been drawn by the two countries, and where are the borderlines between Cold Peace and Cold War on the one hand, between Cold War and War on the other hand.

6/ In general, what do you think the most prominent features of the Biden era at the international level?

Biden is a Warmonger in every respect, as any other US President. He won’t have scruples about aggressing, attacking, shelling, making War, with or without declaration. According to many sources, he is rather a senile guy, with some mental blanks once in a while. Will he lead from behind, from nowhere.

Last but not least, and it is the most important point in any American administration and for any President, Uncle Joe is doubtlessly is very close to the Jewish or Sionist lobbies. Trump was a great friend for Tel-Aviv, and offered a lot of valuable gifts, taken out of the Palestinian or Arab heritage. Biden won’t spare his efforts to make the job even better. It won’t be promising for the Syrian cause, or even the Palestinian question. Biden won’t be worse or better than Trump. He will be a perfect enemy, strongly opposed to the Arab interests.

Which balance of powers will prevail at the highest level?

Many people think and say that Biden’s Vice Kamala Harris will play an important part in the decision-making process. According to most sources, she is a strong, intelligent Lady, ready-to-decide, but the real problem is that nobody knows exactly what she is ready to decide. In America, when Foreign Policy is at stake, the worst is always to be feared. Who will live will see./.

on 15^th of February 2021